Slough Town 3-0 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
8%
8.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 29% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slough Town EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -33%
1.71/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.15
-7% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slough Town
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Aveley
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Aveley Aveley 0-3 HT 0-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
23.12.2023 Aveley Aveley 0-2 HT 0-0 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
09.09.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
POST-MATCH Slough Town vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slough Town swept aside Aveley 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slough Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Slough Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Slough Town and 0.00 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Slough Town vs Aveley?

Slough Town 3-0 Aveley in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slough Town vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Slough Town 49%, draw 27%, Aveley 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slough Town) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slough Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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