Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
6%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 35% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.73/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.15
+33% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Maidstone United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-1 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
23.03.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
28.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare ran out comfortable winners over Maidstone United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 0.67 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Maidstone United?

Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 26%, draw 28%, Maidstone United 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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