Tonbridge Angels 1-4 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.42
+14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Farnborough
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 0-2 HT 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
01.04.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-2 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
24.10.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 4-1 HT 2-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
25.04.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 1-2 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
13.09.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-1 HT 2-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough swept aside Tonbridge Angels 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Farnborough found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 1.60 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough?

Tonbridge Angels 1-4 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 36%, draw 27%, Farnborough 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ Under 2.5
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