Southport 2-2 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 35% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
268 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Oxford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Oxford City Oxford City 1-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
2-2
AWAY Oxford City
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southport vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport and Oxford City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southport had 57% of the ball to Oxford City's 43%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Southport vs Oxford City?

Southport 2-2 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Southport 33%, draw 29%, Oxford City 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oxford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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