St. Albans City 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 27% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.24/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.32
+2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
30.04.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-0 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
21.08.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-1
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City and Dorking Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Albans City had 53% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Albans City and 1.67 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Dorking Wanderers?

St. Albans City 1-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 26%, draw 30%, Dorking Wanderers 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
5 Apr 2025
17:00 Southport vs Oxford City Analysis →
17:00 Slough Town vs Aveley Analysis →
17:00 Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
17:00 Torquay United vs Chesham United Analysis →
17:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Maidstone United Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough Analysis →