Alfreton Town 2-0 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.61
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.34/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.09
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 3-1 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
23.01.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
15.08.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
07.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-2 HT 1-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
27.09.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
2-0
AWAY Peterborough Sports
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town beat Peterborough Sports 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Alfreton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 51% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 49%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.60 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Peterborough Sports?

Alfreton Town 2-0 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 37%, draw 30%, Peterborough Sports 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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