Peterborough Sports 3-1 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 52%
-21% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.74/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.25
-41% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
15.08.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
07.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-2 HT 1-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
27.09.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
3-1
AWAY Alfreton Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports got the better of Alfreton Town 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 53% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 47%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.75 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town?

Peterborough Sports 3-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 29%, draw 26%, Alfreton Town 46%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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