Merthyr Town 2-3 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Mar 2026

Merthyr Town
2 - 3 HT 1 - 0
Spennymoor Town
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.51
Over Pick
67%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.4
No
35%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.24
2-3
42%
1.95
4-5
32%
2.51
6+
11%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Merthyr Town v Spennymoor Town — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Merthyr Town The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town The Market 33%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.58 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Great Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 2

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 6-4 HT 1-2 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İCON

Merthyr Town 2-3 Spennymoor Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merthyr Town
2 - 3
AWAY Spennymoor Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Spennymoor Town edged past Merthyr Town 3-2 on their travels. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

A gentle 50% lean on Merthyr Town didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%) landed.

On the day, possession split 54% to 46% in Merthyr Town's favour, shots finished 13-21.

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town Result & Final Score

Merthyr Town 2 - 3 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 50%, draw 23%, Spennymoor Town 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Merthyr Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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