Ilkeston Town 0-1 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.68
No
36%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+8.9pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.82/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.97
+28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +45%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Stockton Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Stockton Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
22.03.2025 Stockton Town 1-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
18.02.2025 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Stockton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town squeezed past Ilkeston Town 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stockton Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stockton Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ilkeston Town and 1.00 for Stockton Town.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Ilkeston Town 0-1 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 31%, draw 26%, Stockton Town 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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