Stockton Town 1-0 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.18
Over 2.5
68%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.6pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
42%
-9.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
58%
+9.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.59/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.47
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2025 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Stockton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town nicked a narrow win over Ilkeston Town 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stockton Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Stockton Town 1-0 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 47%, draw 17%, Ilkeston Town 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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