Beasain 4-0 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beasain EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.45/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.38
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beasain
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gernika
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 Gernika Gernika 0-0 HT 0-0 Beasain Beasain İS4
22.04.2023 Beasain Beasain 3-2 HT 0-1 Gernika Gernika İS4
11.12.2022 Gernika Gernika 2-1 HT 2-1 Beasain Beasain İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beasain
4-0
AWAY Gernika
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beasain vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beasain cruised past Gernika 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beasain as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Beasain had 50% of the ball to Gernika's 50%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beasain and 1.33 for Gernika.

What was the final score of Beasain vs Gernika?

Beasain 4-0 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beasain vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beasain win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Beasain 45%, draw 28%, Gernika 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beasain), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beasain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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