Malaga II vs Xerez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malaga II v Xerez — Team-Based Signals
Malaga II vs Xerez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 4-1
Malaga II
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Xerez
İS2
0-3
HT 0-1
Xerez
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Malaga II
İS2
2-1
HT 1-1
Malaga II
İS2
Malaga II 1-2 Xerez — Actual Match Statistics
Xerez nicked a narrow win over Malaga II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Malaga II had 41% of the ball to Xerez's 59%, shots finished 8-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xerez led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Malaga II and 1.83 for Xerez.
What was the final score of Malaga II vs Xerez?
Malaga II 1-2 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malaga II vs Xerez?
Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Malaga II 18%, draw 26%, Xerez 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.