Malaga II vs Xerez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Malaga II v Xerez — Team-Based Signals
Malaga II vs Xerez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Malaga II 1-2 Xerez — Actual Match Statistics
Xerez nicked a narrow win over Malaga II 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Malaga II had 41% of the ball to Xerez's 59%, shots finished 8-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xerez led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Malaga II and 1.83 for Xerez.
Malaga II vs Xerez Result & Final Score
Malaga II 1 - 2 Xerez in the Spain - Segunda Federación on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Malaga II vs Xerez Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Malaga II 17%, draw 28%, Xerez 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.