Xerez 1-0 Malaga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga II EU Bookmakers 22%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.03/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.83
-35% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Malaga II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.06.2006 Xerez Xerez 4-2 HT 4-1 Malaga II Malaga II İS2
21.01.2006 Malaga II Malaga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Xerez İS2
29.01.2005 Malaga II Malaga II 0-3 HT 0-1 Xerez Xerez İS2
29.08.2004 Xerez Xerez 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga II Malaga II İS2
11.04.2004 Xerez Xerez 2-1 HT 1-1 Malaga II Malaga II İS2
09.11.2003 Malaga II Malaga II 5-2 HT 1-0 Xerez Xerez İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
1-0
AWAY Malaga II
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Malaga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez squeezed past Malaga II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Xerez had 48% of the ball to Malaga II's 52%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xerez had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Xerez and 1.33 for Malaga II.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Malaga II?

Xerez 1-0 Malaga II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Malaga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Xerez 51%, draw 28%, Malaga II 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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