Navalcarnero vs Colonia Moscardo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Navalcarnero v Colonia Moscardo — Team-Based Signals
Navalcarnero vs Colonia Moscardo Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Navalcarnero 2-1 Colonia Moscardo — Actual Match Statistics
Navalcarnero squeezed past Colonia Moscardo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Navalcarnero as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Navalcarnero had 60% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 40%, shots finished 18-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Navalcarnero and 1.50 for Colonia Moscardo.
What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Colonia Moscardo?
Navalcarnero 2-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Colonia Moscardo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 62%, draw 24%, Colonia Moscardo 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.