Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 Naxara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.27
No
49%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
-0.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxara EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -20%
1.46/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.88
-14% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Naxara
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 5-1 HT 3-1 Naxara Naxara İS4
03.09.2023 Naxara Naxara 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-2
AWAY Naxara
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Naxara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxara squeezed past Deportivo Alaves II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Alaves II at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 59% of the ball to Naxara's 41%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 0.50 for Naxara.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Naxara?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 Naxara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Naxara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 60%, draw 24%, Naxara 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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