Gimnastica Segoviana 2-0 UD Ourense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.38/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.49
-2% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana
2-0
AWAY UD Ourense
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Segoviana vs UD Ourense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Segoviana got the better of UD Ourense 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnastica Segoviana as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastica Segoviana had 50% of the ball to UD Ourense's 50%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Segoviana vs UD Ourense?

Gimnastica Segoviana 2-0 UD Ourense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Segoviana vs UD Ourense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Segoviana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Segoviana 51%, draw 27%, UD Ourense 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastica Segoviana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastica Segoviana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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