Colonia Moscardo 0-3 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.42/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.15
+27% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Navalcarnero
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 3-3 HT 2-0 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0-3
AWAY Navalcarnero
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero cruised past Colonia Moscardo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Navalcarnero found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 57% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 43%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Navalcarnero?

Colonia Moscardo 0-3 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 39%, draw 27%, Navalcarnero 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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