Cacereno 2-2 Union Sur Yaiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
70%
-15.6pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.7pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.29/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.92
-31% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.11.2024 Union Sur Yaiza 2-3 HT 2-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
2-2
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Union Sur Yaiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno and Union Sur Yaiza shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Cacereno at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno had 61% of the ball to Union Sur Yaiza's 39%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Cacereno 2-2 Union Sur Yaiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 54%, draw 27%, Union Sur Yaiza 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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