23/03/2025
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Melilla vs Illescas Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
26%
Draw
27%
29%
Away Win
20%
55%
Under 2.5
62%
45%
Over 2.5
38%
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
55%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melilla v Illescas — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Melilla
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Illescas
EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-17%
1.38/0.69
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.90/1.40
-10%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
-6%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
346 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.9
Melilla vs Illescas Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Melilla
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Illescas
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
38%
Ball Possession
62%
11
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
1
0
Corners
6
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Melilla vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Melilla squeezed past Illescas 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Melilla as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Melilla vs Illescas?
Melilla 1-0 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melilla vs Illescas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Melilla 46%, draw 26%, Illescas 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Melilla)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
23 Mar 2025