Ebro 1-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebro EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.03/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.95
-3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sestao River
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 0-0 Ebro Ebro İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebro
1-1
AWAY Sestao River
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebro vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebro and Sestao River shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Ebro had 45% of the ball to Sestao River's 55%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Ebro vs Sestao River?

Ebro 1-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebro vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ebro 32%, draw 28%, Sestao River 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sestao River), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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