Hertha Berlin 1-1 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
19%
5.1
X/2
12%
6.77
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1
7%
23.95
2/2
15%
4.61
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.66/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.97
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.0 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bochum
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 261
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2025 Bochum Bochum 3-2 HT 2-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
20.05.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-1 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
21.01.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-1 HT 2-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
04.02.2022 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-1 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
12.09.2021 Bochum Bochum 1-3 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
20.07.2019 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
1-1
AWAY Bochum
1.50 xG 0.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
355 Passes 399
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin and Bochum couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 47% of the ball to Bochum's 53%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.50 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.67 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Bochum?

Hertha Berlin 1-1 Bochum in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 41%, draw 24%, Bochum 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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