Braunschweig 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
13%
6.39
X/2
11%
5.27
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
22%
3.23
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.34/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.31
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
17.1 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.27 xG 2.07
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
299 Passes 488
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 HT 0-2 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
03.05.2025 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
08.12.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-0 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
07.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
27.10.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-4 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
24.02.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-0
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.68 xG 0.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
331 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Braunschweig had 50% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 50%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.68 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Braunschweig's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Braunschweig and 2.83 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Braunschweig 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 32%, draw 27%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ BTTS Yes
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