Braunschweig 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.37
X/2
13%
5.58
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
21%
3.35
2/X
9%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
1.37/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.15
-7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
20.2 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.06 xG 2.29
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 468
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-0 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
07.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
27.10.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-4 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
24.02.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
20.08.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
08.05.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.25 xG 0.82
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
359 Passes 554
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
30 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig and Fortuna Düsseldorf shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Braunschweig had 41% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 59%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.25 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Braunschweig and 3.00 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Braunschweig 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 32%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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