Ulm 1846 1-2 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 May 2025

Ulm 1846
1-2 HT 0-1
Hannover 96
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Ulm 1846 vs Hannover 96 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.0
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.05
X/2
13%
5.6
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
14%
3.54
2/X
11%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulm 1846 v Hannover 96 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.25/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.45
-37% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
16.3 Crosses 19.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ulm 1846 vs Hannover 96 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hannover 96
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.25 xG 4.10
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
280 Passes 440
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-2 HT 0-1 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL2

Ulm 1846 1-2 Hannover 96 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
1-2
AWAY Hannover 96
2.86 xG 0.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
281 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 squeezed past Ulm 1846 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hannover 96 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 55% of the ball to Hannover 96's 45%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.86 to 0.43 — on chances, Ulm 1846 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Hannover 96?

Ulm 1846 1-2 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 37%, draw 28%, Hannover 96 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulm 1846) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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