Hannover 96 3-2 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.05
X/1
19%
4.23
X/2
10%
12.1
X/X
12%
5.92
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
6%
9.67
2/X
7%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.83/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.00
+7% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.0 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
3-2
AWAY Ulm 1846
4.10 xG 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
440 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 squeezed past Ulm 1846 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 59% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 41%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 4.10 to 1.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hannover 96's control.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Ulm 1846?

Hannover 96 3-2 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 54%, draw 24%, Ulm 1846 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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