Greuther Fürth 2-1 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

Greuther Fürth
2-1 HT 1-1
Hertha Berlin
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
30%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.68
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
11%
7.7
X/2
11%
5.92
X/X
6%
6.19
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
28%
3.22
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.6pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.37/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/2.01
+15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
18.4 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.52 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
321 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
26.08.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 5-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.02.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
17.09.2021 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL1
14.03.2011 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
22.10.2010 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Greuther Fürth 2-1 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
2-1
AWAY Hertha Berlin
2.02 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
289 Passes 410
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth edged past Hertha Berlin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 42% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 58%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.02 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.33 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin?

Greuther Fürth 2-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 32%, draw 19%, Hertha Berlin 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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