Kaiserslautern 3-1 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

Kaiserslautern
3-1 HT 1-0
Karlsruher SC
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
13%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
14%
6.35
X/2
15%
6.58
X/X
9%
5.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.01
2/X
8%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.68/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.44
+9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
21.7 Crosses 20.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
236 Passes 348
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-4 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
16.09.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
21.05.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
08.11.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-0 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
16.02.2019 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3
25.08.2018 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-0 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL3

Kaiserslautern 3-1 Karlsruher SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
3-1
AWAY Karlsruher SC
2.25 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
403 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern got the better of Karlsruher SC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kaiserslautern found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 54% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 46%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 2.25 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.17 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher SC?

Kaiserslautern 3-1 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 38%, draw 25%, Karlsruher SC 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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