Preussen Münster 1-2 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.48
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
15%
6.66
X/2
8%
6.01
X/X
16%
5.01
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.86
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 42%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.49
-56% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
27.5 Crosses 11.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.59 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
410 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2020 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-2 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
13.12.2019 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
10.02.2018 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-1 HT 3-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
19.08.2017 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-1 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
10.03.2017 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
17.09.2016 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-3 HT 1-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
1-2
AWAY Magdeburg
1.02 xG 1.20
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
202 Passes 352
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg nicked a narrow win over Preussen Münster 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Magdeburg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 39% of the ball to Magdeburg's 61%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.02 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Preussen Münster and 1.67 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Magdeburg?

Preussen Münster 1-2 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 35%, draw 31%, Magdeburg 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024
15:00 Hannover 96 vs Ulm 1846 Analysis →
15:00 Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher SC Analysis →
15:00 Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →