Köln 1-1 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 May 2025

Köln
1-1 HT 0-0
Jahn Regensburg
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.59
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
5.55
2-3 Goals
44%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
5.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.39
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
23.75
X/1
20%
3.89
X/2
5%
23.75
X/X
8%
9.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.8
2/2
6%
20.1
2/X
5%
27.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
75%
-9.1pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.1pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
2.52/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.04
+16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -28%
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
507 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 71%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.9 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Köln vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.09 xG 1.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL2
30.07.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Köln Köln AFK
03.02.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 2-2 Köln Köln AFK
12.05.2019 Köln Köln 3-5 HT 0-3 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
07.12.2018 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-3 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL2
31.03.2013 Köln Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Köln 1-1 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
1-1
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.60 xG 0.58
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
478 Passes 195
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
46 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Köln vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln and Jahn Regensburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Köln at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Köln had 67% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 33%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.60 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Köln and 1.83 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Köln vs Jahn Regensburg?

Köln 1-1 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Köln 66%, draw 18%, Jahn Regensburg 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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