Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.48
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
11%
4.63
X/2
8%
8.21
X/X
12%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
2/2
10%
5.97
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.61/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.71
+22% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.2 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Braunschweig
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.16 xG 1.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
491 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
08.12.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-0 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
07.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
27.10.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-4 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
24.02.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
20.08.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-2
AWAY Braunschweig
1.32 xG 0.79
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
474 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig edged past Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 66% of the ball to Braunschweig's 34%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.32 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fortuna Düsseldorf.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.00 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 50%, draw 27%, Braunschweig 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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