Atletico Rafaela 1-0 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.0pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.11/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.09
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
2W-1D-3L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
189 Passes 345
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
15.09.2024 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
28.04.2024 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
29.08.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 3-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
24.07.2021 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-2 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
13.03.2021 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-2 HT 2-2 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
29.11.2016 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJ
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Rafaela squeezed past San Martin San Juan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Atletico Rafaela made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 1.33 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin San Juan?

Atletico Rafaela 1-0 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 37%, draw 32%, San Martin San Juan 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Rafaela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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