Estudiantes Caseros 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.4pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.29/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.72
+10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
10.08.2025 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
05.04.2025 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 HT 2-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
14.04.2018 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
14.11.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
28.06.2015 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano beat Estudiantes Caseros 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Caseros at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 0.83 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Estudiantes Caseros 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 44%, draw 32%, Defensores De Belgrano 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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