San Martin San Juan 2-1 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

San Martin San Juan
2-1 HT 1-0
Atletico Rafaela
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Rafaela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Martin San Juan v Atletico Rafaela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.78/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.21
+40% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3

San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Rafaela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
298 Passes 241
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
The Meetings
29.08.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 3-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
24.07.2021 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-2 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
13.03.2021 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-2 HT 2-2 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
29.11.2016 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJ
05.03.2016 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
11.05.2015 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJ
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan nicked a narrow win over Atletico Rafaela 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin San Juan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.67 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Rafaela?

San Martin San Juan 2-1 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 47%, draw 26%, Atletico Rafaela 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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