Ried 2-1 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.63
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
4.11
6+
4%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.74
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.44
X/2
10%
7.34
X/X
17%
4.22
2/1
3%
27.0
2/2
13%
5.93
2/X
5%
14.75
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ried The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 1.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
236 Passes 281
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 0-1 Ried Ried AVU
04.10.2025 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
12.05.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AVU
14.04.2023 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
12.11.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-0 HT 2-0 Ried Ried AVU
21.08.2022 Ried Ried 1-2 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
2 - 1
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.65 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
169 Passes 157
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Ried vs Swarovski Tirol
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ried came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Swarovski Tirol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in Ried's favour, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.65 to 0.60 — on chances created, Ried won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Ried against 1.17 for Swarovski Tirol.

Ried vs Swarovski Tirol Result & Final Score

Ried 2 - 1 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ried vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ried 48%, draw 28%, Swarovski Tirol 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✗ Under 2.5
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