Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2026

Swarovski Tirol
1-1 HT 0-1
Ried
📅22/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Swarovski Tirol vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.8
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
12%
6.32
X/2
15%
4.92
X/X
15%
4.07
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.26
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swarovski Tirol v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -21%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.52
+8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.8 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Swarovski Tirol vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ried
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.54 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 245
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2025 Ried Ried 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
12.05.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AVU
14.04.2023 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
12.11.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-0 HT 2-0 Ried Ried AVU
21.08.2022 Ried Ried 1-2 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.04.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU

Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Ried — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1-1
AWAY Ried
1.26 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
239 Passes 254
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol and Ried shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ried at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 48% of the ball to Ried's 52%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.26 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 0.83 for Ried.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Ried?

Swarovski Tirol 1-1 Ried in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 31%, draw 28%, Ried 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ried) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Under 2.5
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