LASK Linz 1-5 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.8
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
9%
6.1
X/2
10%
5.61
X/X
12%
5.01
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
26%
3.39
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.8 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.61/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.17
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.3 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Salzburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.00 xG 2.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
287 Passes 426
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 2-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
02.02.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVK
23.11.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-2 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.08.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
19.05.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 7-1 HT 3-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
12.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 2-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
1-5
AWAY Salzburg
2.39 xG 1.61
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 8
172 Passes 410
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg swept aside LASK Linz 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, LASK Linz had 35% of the ball to Salzburg's 65%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.39 to 1.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured LASK Linz.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LASK Linz and 2.33 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

LASK Linz 1-5 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 31%, draw 25%, Salzburg 44%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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