Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Blau-Weiss Linz — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sturm Graz 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz nicked a narrow win over Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 40% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 60%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.67 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.00 for Blau-Weiss Linz.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz?
Sturm Graz 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiss Linz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 51%, draw 24%, Blau-Weiss Linz 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.