Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Blau-Weiss Linz v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Blau-Weiss Linz 3-4 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz nicked a narrow win over Blau-Weiss Linz 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 57% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 43%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.39 to 1.58 — on chances, Blau-Weiss Linz could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 1.50 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz?
Blau-Weiss Linz 3-4 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 24%, draw 25%, Sturm Graz 51%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz) — a clean sweep of the main markets.