Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Leones del Norte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 14 Mar 2026

Deportivo Cuenca
1-1 HT 0-0
Leones del Norte
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Cuenca v Leones del Norte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.38/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/1.03
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
23.3 Crosses 11.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Leones del Norte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-1
AWAY Leones del Norte
1.57 xG 0.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
361 Passes 230
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca and Leones del Norte shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 59% of the ball to Leones del Norte's 41%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.57 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Leones del Norte in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Leones del Norte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 51%, draw 29%, Leones del Norte 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5
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