Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tecnico Universitario v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Libertad
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
Tecnico Universitario 2-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Tecnico Universitario edged past Libertad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tecnico Universitario as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 49% of the ball to Libertad's 51%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.00 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.50 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
Tecnico Universitario 2-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 41%, draw 27%, Libertad 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.