Tecnico Universitario 2-2 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.58/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.22
+12% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.6 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.16 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
234 Passes 231
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
30.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
27.11.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
10.06.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2-2
AWAY Libertad
2.82 xG 1.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
218 Passes 210
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario and Libertad shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tecnico Universitario at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 49% of the ball to Libertad's 51%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.82 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 0.75 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?

Tecnico Universitario 2-2 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 52%, draw 25%, Libertad 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →