Libertad 4-1 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.00
+16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
23.0 Crosses 17.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.07 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
227 Passes 230
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
17.09.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
30.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
27.11.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
10.06.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
4-1
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad ran out comfortable winners over Tecnico Universitario 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Libertad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 53% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 47%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Libertad and 1.20 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

Libertad 4-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Libertad 38%, draw 28%, Tecnico Universitario 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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