El Nacional vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
El Nacional
EKV1
1-2
HT 1-1
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-2
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
El Nacional 0-3 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics
Uni. Catolica cruised past El Nacional 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Nacional had 26% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 74%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.40 to 2.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for El Nacional and 1.83 for Uni. Catolica.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Uni. Catolica?
El Nacional 0-3 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Uni. Catolica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 31%, draw 24%, Uni. Catolica 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.