Uni. Catolica vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uni. Catolica v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Uni. Catolica vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
El Nacional
EKV1
1-2
HT 1-1
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-2
Uni. Catolica
EKV1
El Nacional
EKV1
Uni. Catolica 1-1 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Uni. Catolica and El Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Uni. Catolica had 62% of the ball to El Nacional's 38%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 2.38 to 0.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Uni. Catolica and 0.50 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs El Nacional?
Uni. Catolica 1-1 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 53%, draw 25%, El Nacional 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 went the other way.