Independiente Del Valle 1-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
15%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.13/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.26
-21% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.1 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 0.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
376 Passes 206
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
07.12.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
09.11.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
19.05.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.12.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
11.12.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-1
AWAY LDU Quito
1.00 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
323 Passes 254
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle and LDU Quito shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 55% of the ball to LDU Quito's 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.00 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito?

Independiente Del Valle 1-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 43%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ BTTS Yes
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