Delfin 2-0 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.23/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.42
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
15.2 Crosses 12.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Emelec
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 0.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
187 Passes 320
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
22.03.2024 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
27.08.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
02.04.2023 Delfin Delfin 3-2 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
07.08.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-3 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
21.03.2022 Emelec Emelec 1-2 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
2-0
AWAY Emelec
1.13 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
213 Passes 217
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin beat Emelec 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Delfin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Delfin had 46% of the ball to Emelec's 54%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.13 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Delfin and 1.50 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Emelec?

Delfin 2-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Delfin 46%, draw 26%, Emelec 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Delfin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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