Delfin 0-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.18/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.15
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
13.6 Crosses 13.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Emelec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.16
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
168 Passes 339
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2024 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
27.08.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
02.04.2023 Delfin Delfin 3-2 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
07.08.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-3 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
21.03.2022 Emelec Emelec 1-2 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
09.08.2021 Delfin Delfin 1-2 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
0-1
AWAY Emelec
0.51 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 Passes 173
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec edged past Delfin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Emelec made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Delfin had 56% of the ball to Emelec's 44%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.51 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Delfin and 1.67 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Emelec?

Delfin 0-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Delfin 38%, draw 29%, Emelec 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Delfin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
25 Aug 2024
21:00 Independiente Del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario Analysis →
23:30 LDU Quito vs Libertad Analysis →