Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.68/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.58
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
449 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 71%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
20.1 Crosses 11.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 0.77
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 162
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
24.09.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
22.04.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
11.10.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-1 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
15.05.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
25.09.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-0
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.76 xG 0.51
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
380 Passes 165
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle nicked a narrow win over Tecnico Universitario 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 65% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 35%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.76 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.17 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?

Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 61%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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