Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
2-0
HT 2-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Independiente Del Valle 1-0 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle edged past LDU Quito 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 72% of the ball to LDU Quito's 28%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 1.66 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Del Valle's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.50 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito?
Independiente Del Valle 1-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 49%, draw 25%, LDU Quito 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.