North District 2-1 Hong Kong Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.3pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.96/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.54
-11% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2025 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
23.02.2025 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 3-1 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
02.02.2025 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 North District North District HONFK
05.01.2025 North District North District 4-4 HT 4-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
24.11.2024 North District North District 3-3 HT 3-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
28.04.2024 North District North District 0-1 HT 0-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
2-1
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH North District vs Hong Kong Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District edged past Hong Kong Rangers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had North District as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, North District had 57% of the ball to Hong Kong Rangers's 43%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hong Kong Rangers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for North District and 2.50 for Hong Kong Rangers.

What was the final score of North District vs Hong Kong Rangers?

North District 2-1 Hong Kong Rangers in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split North District 61%, draw 20%, Hong Kong Rangers 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North District), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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